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Bollinger Bands

Bollinger Bands wrap a 20-day moving average with upper and lower bands set 2 standard deviations away. They expand during volatile periods and contract during quiet ones -- making them a dynamic measure of 'normal' price range.


Band structure

Middle band: 20-day simple moving average (MA20).
  Upper band: MA20 + (2 x standard deviation).
  Lower band: MA20 - (2 x standard deviation).

About 95% of price action occurs within the bands under normal conditions.

Mean reversion signals

Price at upper band: overbought in the short term; may revert to middle.
  Price at lower band: oversold; may bounce back toward middle.
  Price touching a band is not a buy/sell signal by itself -- in strong trends, price can 'walk the band' for days.

The squeeze -- breakout warning

When the bands get very narrow (a 'squeeze'), volatility is compressed. A squeeze typically precedes a large move -- but direction is not guaranteed. Watch for the first big candle after a squeeze to indicate direction.

BB %B in this app

This app shows BB %B (percent bandwidth): 0 = lower band, 1 = upper band, 0.5 = middle. Values near 0 suggest oversold; near 1 suggest overbought. The ML model uses %B as a feature.

✓ Quick Tips
  • The squeeze is your friend -- wait for it, then trade the breakout.
  • Use Bollinger Bands on 20-day daily charts for swing trades.
  • Don't short just because price hits the upper band in a strong uptrend.
  • Combine with RSI: band touch + extreme RSI = higher probability reversal.

Related: RSI -- Relative Strength IndexMACD -- Moving Average Convergence DivergenceVolume Analysispatterns_squeeze

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